Bets and Betting Tips for Cubs vs White Sox - May 16, 2026

-110O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-110

Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-110)
The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest out of every team playing today.
Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
Moises Ballesteros – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-190)
In terms of his home runs, Moises Ballesteros has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His 26.2 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 11.4.
Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
Chicago Cubs – 2H Moneyline
The Chicago Cubs bullpen ranks as the 9th-worst in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Davis Martin – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-135/+105)
Davis Martin has been granted a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, recording 3.6 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average hurler.
Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
Sam Antonacci – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-220/+165)
Samuel Antonacci is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Colson Montgomery – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
Colson Montgomery pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.3% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Chicago White Sox – Run Line +1.0 (-145)
The Chicago White Sox have hit the Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.00 Units / 28% ROI)
Chicago Cubs – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+105/-135)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.20 Units / 12% ROI)
Nico Hoerner – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+7.95 Units / 22% ROI)

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