Get the Latest Score Updates for Guardians vs Red Sox – Wednesday September 23, 2026

Cleveland Guardians

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Boston Red Sox

Cleveland Guardians Insights

• Foster Griffin – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
  Among all starters, Foster Griffin’s fastball velocity of 88 mph is in the 1st percentile this year.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Nathaniel Lowe – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-135/+105)
  Nathaniel Lowe has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (77% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Foster Griffin – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
  Patrick Bailey, the Guardians’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, profiles as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Boston Red Sox Insights

• Sonny Gray – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-110/-120)
  Tallying 17.5 outs per start this year on average, Sonny Gray places him the 90th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Caleb Durbin – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)
  There has been a decrease in Caleb Durbin’s average exit velocity this year, from 85.2 mph last year to 82.9 mph now
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Boston Red Sox – 2H Moneyline
  The Boston Red Sox bullpen ranks as the 6th-best in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 6.5 Game Total (-115/-105)
  The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.90 Units / 60% ROI)
• Cleveland Guardians – Moneyline (+120)
  The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.85 Units / 39% ROI)
• Travis Bazzana – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+1000/-3000)
  Travis Bazzana has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+16.50 Units / 206% ROI)