
San Francisco Giants
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Los Angeles Dodgers
+280O/U: 7.5
(+115/-135)-335
(+115/-135)-335
San Francisco Giants Insights
- Logan Webb – Over/Under StrikeoutsLogan Webb’s four-seam fastball utilization has spiked by 5.7% from last year to this one (7.9% to 13.6%) .Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
- Victor Bericoto – Over/Under Total BasesVictor Bericoto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-335)Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
- Miguel Rojas – Over/Under HitsMiguel Rojas is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- As a team, Los Angeles Dodgers bats have performed well when assessing hitting balls in the launch angle band that tends to optimize base hits (between -4° and 26°), ranking 2nd-best in the league.Explain: Balls that are hit either too high or too low can easy to field, but balls hit between -4° and 26° are far more likely to become base hits.
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-335)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+5.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team TotalThe San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 23 games (+12.05 Units / 41% ROI)
