Discover the Game Time for Orioles vs Mets - Wednesday September 16, 2026

+120O/U: 8.5
(-120/+100)-140

Baltimore Orioles – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+110)
Chris Bassitt is projected to allow an average of 3.21 earned runs in today’s matchup, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
The Baltimore Orioles have 4 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Heston Kjerstad, Christian Encarnacion-Strand, Coby Mayo, Colton Cowser).
Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Robert Stock – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
The Baltimore Orioles have 6 hitters in the projected lineup that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Robert Stock in today’s game, which is especially precarious given his large platoon split.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
A.J. Ewing – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-190/+145)
A.J. Ewing has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (57% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
New York Mets – 2H Moneyline
The New York Mets bullpen projects as the 3rd-worst in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

New York Mets – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-140)
The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+6.10 Units / 11% ROI)
Baltimore Orioles – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-125)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.35 Units / 24% ROI)

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