Discover the Game Time for Orioles vs Mets – Wednesday September 16, 2026

Baltimore Orioles

@

New York Mets

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Baltimore Orioles – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-115)
  Chris Bassitt is projected to allow an average of 3.26 earned runs in today’s matchup, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
• Dylan Beavers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-170)
  Extreme groundball hitters like Dylan Beavers usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Xzavion Curry.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• The Baltimore Orioles (26.6% K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the most strikeout-prone set of hitters of all teams today.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

New York Mets Insights

• Xzavion Curry – Over/Under 2.5 Strikeouts (-175/+135)
  When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Xzavion Curry in the 0th percentile among all starters in MLB.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
• A.J. Ewing – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-190/+145)
  A.J. Ewing has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (57% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• New York Mets – 2H Moneyline
  The New York Mets bullpen projects as the 5th-worst in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• New York Mets – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-115)
  The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+6.10 Units / 11% ROI)
• Baltimore Orioles – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-145)
  The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.35 Units / 24% ROI)
• Samuel Basallo – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)
  Samuel Basallo has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 30% ROI)