Game Recap for Mariners vs Angels – Monday, September 14th, 2026

Seattle Mariners

@

Los Angeles Angels

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Kade Anderson – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+115/-150)
  Compared to the average starter, Kade Anderson has been given a shorter leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing an -17.1 fewer adjusted pitches each start.
  Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
• Josh Naylor – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-220/+165)
  Josh Naylor is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
  Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.8% — 100th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 11th-deepest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Reid Detmers – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Reid Detmers in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
• Tyler Heineman – Over/Under Total Bases
  There has been a decrease in Tyler Heineman’s average exit velocity this year, from 84.2 mph last year to 81.8 mph now
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the most strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Los Angeles Angels with a 27.8% underlying K%.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.