Betting Trends and Expert Picks for Mets vs Yankees Sunday, September 13, 2026

New York Mets

@

New York Yankees

New York Mets Insights

• Christian Scott – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-145/+110)
  Christian Scott didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking hitters out in his last game started and compiled 1 Ks.
  Explain: A pitcher who struggled in his last outing may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.
• A.J. Ewing – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)
  A.J. Ewing has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (58% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• New York Mets – Moneyline (+160)
  The 3rd-best projected batting order on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the New York Mets.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

New York Yankees Insights

• Cam Schlittler – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-155/+120)
  Compared to the average starting pitcher, Cameron Schlittler has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing an extra 4.3 adjusted pitches each start.
  Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Cody Bellinger – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
  Cody Bellinger will probably have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• New York Yankees – 2H Moneyline
  The New York Yankees bullpen ranks as the 4th-worst in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.