Arizona Diamondbacks
@
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks Insights
- Gabriel Moreno – Over/Under Total BasesGabriel Moreno has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
San Francisco Giants Insights
- Osleivis Basabe – Over/Under Total BasesBats such as Osleivis Basabe with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Mitch Bratt who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- The underlying talent of the San Francisco Giants projected lineup today (.298 projected wOBA via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be a good deal weaker than their .309 wOBA this year.Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.
Betting Trends
- San Francisco Giants – 1st Five Innings (F5) MoneylineThe San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 40 games (+9.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- Arizona Diamondbacks – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team TotalThe Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.25 Units / 66% ROI)