
Cincinnati Reds
@

San Francisco Giants
+100O/U: 7
(-120/+100)-120
(-120/+100)-120
Cincinnati Reds Insights
- Cincinnati Reds – Moneyline (+100)Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Hector Rodriguez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-190/+145)Hector Rodriguez is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- The Cincinnati Reds have done a good job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their hardest-contacted balls. Their 16.1° angle is among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (#2 overall).Explain: If you hit the ball hard but straight at the ground, it doesn’t do you any good. A player that is skilled at lifting his hardest hit balls into the air stands the best chance of turning them into extra-base hits or home runs.
San Francisco Giants Insights
- Logan Webb – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+130/-170)Logan Webb has been given more leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing 5.3 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starter.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Christian Koss – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)Christian Koss’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 91.5-mph average last year has lowered to 87.3-mph.Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
- The 7.4% Barrel% of the San Francisco Giants grades them out as the #22 offense in Major League Baseball this year by this stat.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Betting Trends
- San Francisco Giants – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-130)The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+8.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- Cincinnati Reds – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-115/-115)The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- JJ Bleday – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+130)JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 away games (+11.30 Units / 47% ROI)
