
Colorado Rockies
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Washington Nationals
+100O/U: 9.5
(-110/-110)-120
(-110/-110)-120
Colorado Rockies Insights
- Gabriel Hughes – Over/Under Pitching OutsGabriel Hughes has been given less leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 8.3 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than average.Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
- Brett Sullivan – Over/Under Total BasesBrett Sullivan is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Washington (#1-best of all teams on the slate today).Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the Colorado Rockies in this game owns an estimated true talent wOBA of .295, which is quite a bit worse than their actual wOBA of .321 this year.Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.
Washington Nationals Insights
- Jake Irvin – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)With 7 bats of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Jake Irvin will not have the upper hand while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Keibert Ruiz – Over/Under Total BasesThe switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Gabriel Hughes.Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Washington Nationals – 2H MoneylineThe Washington Nationals bullpen profiles as the 2nd-worst in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
