
Los Angeles Dodgers
@

Atlanta Braves
+100O/U: 6.5
(-105/-115)-120
(-105/-115)-120
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+120/-150)Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s curveball utilization has fallen by 5.3% from last season to this one (17.6% to 12.3%) .Explain: Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
- Mookie Betts – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)Mookie Betts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest CF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Atlanta Braves Insights
- Chris Sale – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)Chris Sale has put up a 32.1% Strikeout% this year, ranking in the 98th percentile.Explain: One of the best indicators of future strikeouts is past strikeouts.
- Lane Thomas – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-120/-110)Lane Thomas is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Atlanta Braves – Moneyline (-120)The 5th-best projected batting order of all teams today in terms of overall hitting skill belongs to the Atlanta Braves.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Betting Trends
- Atlanta Braves – Run Line -1.5 (+185)The Atlanta Braves have hit the Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+10.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+125/-160)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 7 games (+7.15 Units / 89% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+190/-255)Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 27% ROI)
