
Cincinnati Reds
@

San Francisco Giants
-155O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)+135
(-110/-110)+135
Cincinnati Reds Insights
- Chase Burns – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)With 6 bats who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Chase Burns will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- JJ Bleday – Over/Under HitsJJ Bleday is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Cincinnati Reds – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Cincinnati Reds’ bullpen profiles as the worst out of all the teams in MLB.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
San Francisco Giants Insights
- Carson Whisenhunt – Over/Under StrikeoutsCarson Whisenhunt wasn’t on when it came to striking batters out in his last game started and notched 2 Ks.Explain: A pitcher who struggled in his last outing may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.
- Christian Koss – Over/Under Total BasesFrom last season to this one, Christian Koss’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 91.5 mph to 87.3 mph.Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
- Rafael Devers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+155/-200)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
Betting Trends
- San Francisco Giants – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+135)The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 23 games at home (+7.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- Cincinnati Reds – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+110/-140)The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+4.60 Units / 9% ROI)
