Tampa Bay Rays
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Baltimore Orioles
+115O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-135
(-110/-110)-135
Tampa Bay Rays Insights
- Freddy Peralta – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-105/-125)Compared to the average starting pitcher, Freddy Peralta has been given a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing an extra 4.2 adjusted pitches each start.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Jorge Mateo – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+175/-230)Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Jorge Mateo will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Yandy Diaz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league’s shallowest RF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Baltimore Orioles Insights
- Trevor Rogers – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)The Tampa Bay Rays have 7 bats in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Rogers in today’s game.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Betting Trends
- Baltimore Orioles – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+115/-145)The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+13.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Tampa Bay Rays – Run Line +1.5 (-185)The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Run Line in 15 of their last 23 away games (+9.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jackson Holliday – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-110/-120)Jackson Holliday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.90 Units / 97% ROI)