Game Location for Royals vs Dodgers - 8/12/26

+185O/U: 9
(-120/+100)-220

Daniel Lynch – Over/Under Pitching Outs
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Daniel Lynch IV to be limited in this game, projecting a maximum of 76 pitches.
Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
Nick Loftin – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-185/+140)
Nick Loftin has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (77% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Michael Massey – Over/Under Total Bases
Michael Massey pulls many of his flyballs (37.7% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Eric Lauer – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
Eric Lauer has gone to his change-up 8.6% more often this season (15.8%) than he did last season (7.2%).
Explain: Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
Freddie Freeman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
The Kansas City Royals don’t have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Freddie Freeman is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever the whole game.
Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-220)
The Los Angeles Dodgers projected lineup projects as the best of the day in terms of overall batting skill.
Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 5.5 Team Total (+105/-135)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games at home (+4.25 Units / 12% ROI)
Kansas City Royals – Run Line +1.5 (-110)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games (+6.60 Units / 22% ROI)
Mookie Betts – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-135/+105)
Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.15 Units / 34% ROI)

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