Check the Weather for Phillies vs Cardinals Game – 8/12/2026

Philadelphia Phillies

@

St. Louis Cardinals

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

• Zack Wheeler – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
  Zack Wheeler’s 2436-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 81st percentile among all starters.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Bryce Harper – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Bryce Harper may have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals has just 1 same-handed RP.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Kyle Schwarber – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Kyle Schwarber pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.3% — 100th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Kyle Leahy – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+135/-175)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Leahy to throw 84 pitches in this game (9th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
  Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 3rd-least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the St. Louis Cardinals with a 19.4% underlying K%.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.