See the Updated Player Rankings for Orioles vs Twins – August 12, 2026

Baltimore Orioles

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Minnesota Twins

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Shane Baz – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  Shane Baz’s curveball rate has spiked by 5.8% from last season to this one (26.9% to 32.7%) .
  Explain: Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
• Christian Franklin – Over/Under Hits
  Christian Franklin is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Baltimore Orioles – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Baltimore Orioles’ bullpen ranks as the 6th-worst out of all the teams in the majors.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Minnesota Twins Insights

• Zebby Matthews – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
  Zebby Matthews’s fastball velocity has fallen 1 mph this year (94.6 mph) below where it was last year (95.6 mph).
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• Royce Lewis – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  Royce Lewis has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96.7-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 90.3-mph average.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Ryan Jeffers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-190)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.