Watch the Game Highlights for Rays vs Mariners – Saturday, August 08, 2026

Tampa Bay Rays

@

Seattle Mariners

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

• Tampa Bay Rays – Moneyline (+120)
  Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Tampa Bay Rays.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
• Nick Fortes – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)
  Nick Fortes’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 90.9-mph average last year has fallen off to 86.7-mph.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Yandy Diaz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Seattle Mariners Insights

• George Kirby – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+150/-195)
  Tallying 18.1 outs per game per started this year on average, George Kirby ranks in the 95th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  Cal Raleigh is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Tampa Bay (#3-best of the day).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• George Kirby – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-150/+115)
  Projected catcher Cal Raleigh projects as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 7.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 35 games (+5.70 Units / 15% ROI)
• Tampa Bay Rays – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (+105/-135)
  The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.00 Units / 45% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+125/-165)
  Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.50 Units / 31% ROI)