Check Out Picks and Betting Guide for Reds vs Nationals - 8/09/26

-110O/U: 9.5
(+100/-120)-110

Brady Singer – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-120/-110)
Brady Singer has averaged 93.4 adjusted pitches per outing this year, ranking in the 84th percentile.
Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
JJ Bleday – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
Washington’s #2-ranked outfield defense on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for JJ Bleday, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
The Cincinnati Reds have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Eugenio Suarez, Matt McLain, Tyler Stephenson).
Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Trevor Williams – Over/Under Strikeouts
Given his huge platoon split, Trevor Williams will benefit from going up against 6 batters in the projected offense who share his hand in today’s outing.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Keibert Ruiz – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-225/+170)
Keibert Ruiz has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (88% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.

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