
Arizona Diamondbacks
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Los Angeles Dodgers
+195O/U: 9.5
(-110/-110)-225
(-110/-110)-225
Arizona Diamondbacks Insights
- Nolan Arenado – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-145/+115)Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Arizona Diamondbacks – 2H MoneylineThe Arizona Diamondbacks bullpen projects as the 10th-best in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)Today, Max Muncy is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 40.6% rate (98th percentile).Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 5.5 Team Total (-105/-125)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Arizona Diamondbacks – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-140/+110)The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 16 away games (+9.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll – Over/Under 0.5 Walks (+135/-180)Corbin Carroll has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.90 Units / 98% ROI)
