Read the Boxscore for Marlins vs Rockies – Thursday July 2nd, 2026

Miami Marlins

@

Colorado Rockies

Miami Marlins Insights

• Ryan Gusto – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  Compared to league average, Ryan Gusto has been granted less leash than the typical pitcher this year, recording an -9.4 fewer adjusted pitches each game.
  Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
• Griffin Conine – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  Griffin Conine has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Miami Marlins – 2H Moneyline
  The Miami Marlins bullpen projects as the 9th-worst in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Michael Lorenzen – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-160/+125)
  With 7 hitters who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Michael Lorenzen will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Tyler Freeman – Over/Under Hits
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
• As forecasted by the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the Colorado Rockies are expected to record the 2nd-most runs (6.47 on average) of all teams on the slate today.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like player quality, ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.