Odds and Betting Trends for Giants vs D-Backs - 7/1/26

+115O/U: 9.5
(-110/-110)-135

Trevor McDonald – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
Trevor McDonald was firing on all cylinders in his last GS and put up 8 strikeouts.
Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
Rafael Devers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
Rafael Devers has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.
Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
Heliot Ramos – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
Today, Heliot Ramos is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.7% rate (91st percentile).
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Zac Gallen – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-105/-125)
As forecasted by the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Zac Gallen is expected to average a total of 16.8 outs in today’s outing.
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
Adrian Del Castillo – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+120)
Extreme groundball batters like Adrian Del Castillo generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Trevor McDonald.
Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
The Arizona Diamondbacks (20.3 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 4th-least strikeout-heavy team of batters on the slate.
Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+11.15 Units / 29% ROI)
San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-110/-120)
The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 away games (+11.85 Units / 20% ROI)
Zac Gallen – Over/Under 6.5 Hits Allowed (+105/-135)
Zac Gallen has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.60 Units / 47% ROI)

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