Get the Latest Score Updates for Mets vs Phillies – Thursday June 18, 2026

New York Mets

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Philadelphia Phillies

New York Mets Insights

• Sean Manaea – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
  Among all starters, Sean Manaea’s fastball spin rate of 2034 rpm grades out in the 5th percentile this year.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Juan Soto – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
  In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Juan Soto has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• It may be best to expect better numbers for the New York Mets offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the unluckiest offense in baseball this year.
  Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

• Philadelphia Phillies – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-120)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects that Aaron Nola will concede an average of 3.04 earned runs in this game.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
• Derek Hill – Over/Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (+630/-1200)
  Placing in the 93rd percentile for base-stealing, Derek Hill has average 33 steals per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.
  Explain: Players who steal bases tend to continue stealing bases (and visa-versa).
• Philadelphia Phillies – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Philadelphia Phillies’ bullpen profiles as the 10th-best among all teams in the majors.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 10.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.30 Units / 28% ROI)
• New York Mets – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-130/+100)
  The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.30 Units / 33% ROI)
• Brett Baty – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+140/-180)
  Brett Baty has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+7.90 Units / 16% ROI)