Rays vs Orioles Best Bets and Expert Picks - Monday May 25, 2026

-110O/U: 7.5
(-115/-105)-110

Shane McClanahan – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
The Baltimore Orioles have 7 hitters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage against Shane McClanahan today.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Yandy Diaz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Kyle Bradish – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
Out of all starting pitchers, Kyle Bradish’s fastball spin rate of 2393 rpm ranks in the 75th percentile this year.
Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Tyler O’Neill – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-125/-105)
Tyler O’Neill has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (65% of the time), but he is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
The Baltimore Orioles have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Tyler O’Neill, Weston Wilson, Blaze Alexander).
Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Baltimore Orioles – Run Line +1.5 (-170)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Run Line in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+5.75 Units / 26% ROI)
Tampa Bay Rays – Run Line -1.5 (+150)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+9.85 Units / 31% ROI)
Adley Rutschman – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+700/-1600)
Adley Rutschman has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+12.40 Units / 124% ROI)

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