Betting Odds and Picks for Blue Jays vs Yankees - 5/20/26

+150O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-175

Trey Yesavage – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
Trey Yesavage has a large reverse platoon split and has the benefit of facing 7 opposite-handed batters in this game.
Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Daulton Varsho – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
Daulton Varsho’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 89.5-mph mark last year has fallen off to 86.8-mph.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup in today’s games is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 20% underlying K%.
Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Cam Schlittler – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-145/+110)
Out of all starters, Cameron Schlittler’s fastball velocity of 97.1 mph ranks in the 92nd percentile this year.
Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Aaron Judge – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Aaron Judge as the 5th-best hitter in the majors when it comes to his batting average talent.
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
New York Yankees hitters as a group place in the majors for power this year when assessing with their 11.7% Barrel%.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

New York Yankees – Moneyline (-175)
The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 35 games at home (+8.05 Units / 12% ROI)
Toronto Blue Jays – Run Line +1.5 (-145)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.35 Units / 15% ROI)
Ben Rice – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
Ben Rice has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.90 Units / 77% ROI)

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