Official Lineup for Athletics vs Phillies – 5/07/2026

Athletics

@

Philadelphia Phillies

Athletics Insights

• Athletics – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+100)
  In his previous outing, J.T. Ginn was rolling and gave up 0 ER.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Jeff McNeil – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-185/+145)
  Jeff McNeil’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 89.6-mph mark last year has lowered to 83-mph.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Lawrence Butler – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)
  Lawrence Butler has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

• Andrew Painter – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (+110/-140)
  Andrew Painter has tallied 14.5 outs per game per started this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Justin Crawford – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-195/+150)
  Typically, bats like Justin Crawford who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as J.T. Ginn.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• It may be best to expect better results for the Philadelphia Phillies offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 3rd-unluckiest offense in the game this year.
  Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Betting Trends

• Philadelphia Phillies – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-110/-120)
  The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.40 Units / 23% ROI)
• Athletics – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+100)
  The Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+8.15 Units / 24% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-165)
  Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+6.95 Units / 24% ROI)