
San Diego Padres
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San Francisco Giants
-110O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-110
(-110/-110)-110
San Diego Padres Insights
- Manny Machado – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)Manny Machado has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.7-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 89.5-mph EV.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- San Diego Padres – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the San Diego Padres’ bullpen profiles as the best among all major league teams.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
San Francisco Giants Insights
- Adrian Houser – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)Adrian Houser’s change-up rate has increased by 7.3% from last season to this one (15.3% to 22.6%) .Explain: Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
- Heliot Ramos – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)Heliot Ramos has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- San Diego Padres – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+110/-140)The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- Matt Chapman – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-105/-125)Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 41% ROI)
