
Chicago White Sox
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Los Angeles Angels
-110O/U: 9
(-110/-110)-110
(-110/-110)-110
Chicago White Sox Insights
- Noah Schultz – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)Noah Schultz’s 2509-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 92nd percentile out of all starting pitchers.Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Miguel Vargas – Over/Under Total BasesExtreme flyball bats like Miguel Vargas usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Walbert Urena.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- The 9.5% Barrel% of the Chicago White Sox makes them the #7 offense in the league this year by this metric.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Walbert Urena – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)Given that groundball pitchers have a big edge over groundball batters, Walbert Urena and his 49.7% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a good position in this matchup going up against 2 opposing GB batters.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- Nolan Schanuel – Over/Under HitsNolan Schanuel has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (78% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Zach Neto – Over/Under Total BasesToday, Zach Neto is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.4% rate (95th percentile).Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
