
Chicago Cubs
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Los Angeles Dodgers
+135O/U: 9
(-110/-110)-155
(-110/-110)-155
Chicago Cubs Insights
- Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (+135)The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best among all the teams today.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Carson Kelly – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-150/+120)Carson Kelly is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (+135)The 3rd-best projected offense of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability belongs to the Chicago Cubs.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Emmet Sheehan – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+115/-150)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Emmet Sheehan to throw 84 pitches in this matchup (8th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
- Alex Freeland – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)Alex Freeland has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph dropping to 80.6-mph in the past 7 days.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Los Angeles Dodgers’ bullpen projects as the 9th-best among all teams in Major League Baseball.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-155)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games (+4.30 Units / 6% ROI)
- Chicago Cubs – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+110/-145)The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ian Happ – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+125/-160)Ian Happ has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+6.55 Units / 25% ROI)
