Live Stream Details for Cardinals vs Astros – Friday, April 17, 2026

St. Louis Cardinals

@

Houston Astros

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Kyle Leahy – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
  Kyle Leahy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing bats in this matchup.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Jordan Walker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-165)
  Jordan Walker has been lucky this year, posting a .452 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .327 — a .125 difference.
  Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
• Jordan Walker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-165)
  Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (41.1% — 100th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 8th-deepest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Houston Astros Insights

• Isaac Paredes – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-190)
  Isaac Paredes has struggled with his Barrel%; his 5.8% rate last season has fallen to 0% this season.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• The underlying talent of the Houston Astros projected lineup today (.325 projected wOBA according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be a fair amount worse than their .342 wOBA this year.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Betting Trends

• Houston Astros – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+100/-130)
  The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.65 Units / 30% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-120/+100)
  The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 25 away games (+3.95 Units / 14% ROI)
• Jose Altuve – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+190/-250)
  Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 25 games at home (+6.30 Units / 19% ROI)