Read the Mariners vs Blue Jays Betting Guide – October 13, 2025

Seattle Mariners

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Toronto Blue Jays

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Logan Gilbert – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-160/+125)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan Gilbert to throw 76 pitches in this matchup (least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
  Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  This season, Cal Raleigh has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 97 mph compared to last year’s 94.9 mph mark.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Seattle Mariners – 2H Moneyline
  The Seattle Mariners bullpen profiles as the 3rd-best in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Trey Yesavage – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-160/+125)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Trey Yesavage in the 93rd percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
• George Springer – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
  Despite posting a .408 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes George Springer has had positive variance on his side given the .049 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .359.
  Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 7.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 77 of their last 135 games (+20.00 Units / 13% ROI)
• Seattle Mariners – Moneyline (+100)
  The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 100 games (+12.85 Units / 9% ROI)
• Ernie Clement – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+160/-205)
  Ernie Clement has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+8.35 Units / 27% ROI)