Boxscore for Cardinals vs Brewers – 9/14/25

St. Louis Cardinals

@

Milwaukee Brewers

On September 14, 2025, the Milwaukee Brewers will host the St. Louis Cardinals at American Family Field in a crucial National League Central matchup. The Brewers are enjoying a strong season with a record of 91-58, while the Cardinals sit at 72-77, struggling to find their footing. In their last game, the Brewers secured a convincing victory over the Cardinals, further solidifying their position in the playoff race.

Milwaukee is projected to start Jose Quintana, who has had a decent year with an 11-6 record and a solid ERA of 3.88. However, his 4.89 xFIP suggests he may have been fortunate thus far, raising concerns about his future performance. Quintana’s average projections indicate he will pitch around 5.5 innings, allowing 2.6 earned runs, although his tendency to give up 5.4 hits and 1.8 walks could pose challenges against a Cardinals lineup that has been inconsistent.

On the other side, St. Louis will send Miles Mikolas to the mound. Mikolas has struggled this season with a 7-10 record and an ERA of 4.84. His projections indicate he may only pitch 4.9 innings while allowing 2.6 earned runs, but his low strikeout rate of 14.6 K% could be a disadvantage against a Brewers offense that ranks 10th overall and 3rd in batting average.

The Brewers’ offense is particularly dangerous, especially with their ability to draw walks, ranking 5th in MLB. This could be crucial against Mikolas, who has shown good control but may not be as effective against a patient lineup. With a high implied team total of 5.07 runs, the Brewers are favored to continue their winning ways against the struggling Cardinals, who have an implied team total of just 3.93 runs.

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Miles Mikolas – Over/Under 2.5 Strikeouts (-145/+110)
  It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Miles Mikolas has relied on his secondary offerings 6.4% more often this season (55.4%) than he did last season (49%).
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Thomas Saggese – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-205/+155)
  Thomas Saggese is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• The 8% Barrel% of the St. Louis Cardinals makes them the #23 team in the majors this year by this metric.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Jose Quintana – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
  Jose Quintana’s 89.9-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 6th percentile out of all SPs.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Jake Bauers – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)
  Jake Bauers has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.3-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 91.9-mph average.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Jackson Chourio – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
  Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Milwaukee Brewers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-190)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 74 of their last 145 games (+28.45 Units / 15% ROI)
• St. Louis Cardinals – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-120/-110)
  The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 52 games (+8.25 Units / 14% ROI)
• Ivan Herrera – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+450/-750)
  Ivan Herrera has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+20.40 Units / 204% ROI)