
Milwaukee Brewers

Toronto Blue Jays
(-110/-110)-110
The Toronto Blue Jays will host the Milwaukee Brewers in a pivotal interleague matchup on August 31, 2025, at Rogers Centre. Both teams are having strong seasons, with the Brewers sitting at 85-52 and the Blue Jays at 78-58. In their last encounter, the Blue Jays fell to the Brewers 4-1, marking a tough loss as they seek to rebound in this third game of the series.
On the mound, the Blue Jays are projected to start Max Scherzer, who has had a solid season with a 5-2 record and a respectable 3.82 ERA. However, his 4.50 xFIP suggests he might be due for some regression. Scherzer’s ability to limit walks (6.1 BB%) will be tested against a patient Brewers lineup that ranks 5th in the league in walks. Conversely, Brandon Woodruff will take the hill for the Brewers, boasting a 5-1 record and an impressive 3.10 ERA. Woodruff has struggled recently, allowing 5 earned runs in his last outing, but his 32.8 K% indicates he can dominate when on his game.
Offensively, the Blue Jays rank 2nd in MLB, driven by a batting average that leads the league. Their best hitter has been on fire lately, posting a .600 average over the last week, which bodes well for their chances against Woodruff. The Brewers, while 10th in overall offensive rank, have also shown their strength, particularly in batting average, sitting 2nd in that category.
Given the projections for both pitchers and the overall offensive capabilities of the Blue Jays, they may have the edge in this matchup despite the close odds. With a low game total of 7.5 runs, bettors should expect a tightly contested game where every run counts.
Milwaukee Brewers Insights
- Brandon Woodruff – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-160/+125)Brandon Woodruff’s high utilization rate of his fastball (64.2% this year) is likely hurting his results, consider they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
- Andrew Vaughn – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+135)Andrew Vaughn has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (89% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Milwaukee Brewers – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Milwaukee Brewers’ bullpen grades out as the 5th-worst among all the teams in the majors.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Toronto Blue Jays Insights
- Max Scherzer – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)In his last start, Max Scherzer didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking batters out and only managed to post 1 Ks.Explain: A pitcher who struggled in his last outing may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.
- George Springer – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)This season, George Springer has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.7 mph compared to last year’s 93.2 mph mark.Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
- George Springer – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)George Springer hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 59 of their last 100 games (+20.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-110)The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 69 of their last 104 games (+30.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- Bo Bichette – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.25 Units / 56% ROI)