Find the Best Player Prop Bets for Red Sox vs Yankees – 8/24/25

Boston Red Sox

@

New York Yankees

As the New York Yankees prepare to take on the Boston Red Sox on August 24, 2025, this matchup takes on heightened significance as it marks the fourth game in their series. The Yankees, currently holding a record of 69-60, are positioned in the American League East, having had an above-average season. Meanwhile, the Red Sox sit slightly ahead with a record of 71-59, also enjoying a solid performance. This matchup features two teams that are not only rivals but also playing with palpable stakes, making every game count.

In their last outing, the Yankees clinched a victory against the Red Sox, contributing to their competitive edge. The projected starters offer an intriguing contrast: Carlos Rodon for the Yankees has been a key asset, boasting a 13-7 record and an impressive ERA of 3.24. Rodon’s ability to dominate on the mound is underscored by his high strikeout rate of 27.3%. In contrast, Dustin May of the Red Sox has had a more average season with a record of 7-9 and an ERA of 4.59. Rodon’s performance is projected to be above average today, with estimates showing he’ll allow 2.4 earned runs and strike out an average of 7.0 batters.

On the offensive front, the Yankees rank as the 1st best offense in MLB, bolstered by their power-hitting capabilities with the most home runs in the league. The Red Sox, while also strong, rank 7th in MLB, making this clash a battle of elite hitting versus solid pitching. Oddsmakers currently favor the Yankees with a moneyline of -165 and an implied team total of 4.74 runs, reflecting confidence in their ability to capitalize on Rodon’s strengths against a high-strikeout Red Sox lineup. With the game total set at 8.5 runs, there’s potential for a thrilling matchup filled with offensive fireworks and sharp pitching.

Boston Red Sox Insights

• Dustin May – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  The New York Yankees have 6 bats in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage against Dustin May in today’s game, which is especially troublesome given his huge platoon split.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Jarren Duran – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)
  Jarren Duran is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Boston Red Sox – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Boston Red Sox’ bullpen profiles as the 4th-best out of all MLB teams.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

New York Yankees Insights

• Carlos Rodon – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)
  Carlos Rodon’s 93.6-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a big 2-mph decline from last season’s 95.6-mph mark.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• Giancarlo Stanton – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  Giancarlo Stanton has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.7-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 94.2-mph figure.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Ben Rice – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
  Ben Rice pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest RF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-115/-105)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 51 games at home (+7.25 Units / 13% ROI)
• Boston Red Sox – Moneyline (+140)
  The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 61 games (+13.65 Units / 16% ROI)
• Jazz Chisholm – Over/Under 0.5 Walks (+165/-215)
  Jazz Chisholm has hit the Walks Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+6.80 Units / 68% ROI)