Discover the Betting Trends for Brewers vs Cubs Game – Wednesday, August 20, 2025

Milwaukee Brewers

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Chicago Cubs

On August 20, 2025, the Chicago Cubs will host the Milwaukee Brewers at Wrigley Field in a pivotal matchup within the National League Central. The Cubs, currently sitting at 72-54, are having a solid season, while the Brewers lead the division with a strong 79-47 record. This game marks the fourth in a series that could have significant implications for both teams’ playoff aspirations.

In their most recent game, the Cubs fell short to the Brewers, but they remain a competitive force, boasting the 7th best offense in MLB. Their offensive prowess is highlighted by a ranking of 4th in stolen bases and 7th in home runs. However, they face a challenging task against Milwaukee’s pitching. Colin Rea, projected to start for the Cubs, has had an up-and-down season, holding a 9-5 record and a respectable ERA of 3.99. Yet, advanced projections suggest he may have been somewhat lucky this year, with a 4.74 xERA indicating potential struggles ahead.

Conversely, Jacob Misiorowski takes the mound for the Brewers, showcasing his potential with a 4-1 record and a solid 3.89 ERA. He ranks as the 71st best starting pitcher in MLB, suggesting he has the advantage over Rea. Misiorowski’s ability to strike out batters (36.0 K% this year) may be tested against a Cubs offense that ranks 4th in the league for the least strikeouts.

With both teams’ bullpens ranked in the middle of the pack—Cubs at 12th and Brewers at 10th—this matchup could hinge on the starting pitchers’ performances. The Game Total is set low at 7.0 runs, reflecting expectations for a tight contest, which the betting markets support with both teams at -110 on the moneyline. Given the Cubs’ offensive capabilities and the projections indicating Rea’s potential for improvement, they may offer value against the odds in this crucial matchup.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Jacob Misiorowski – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
  Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Jacob Misiorowski has relied on his fastball a lot this year, though: 55.3% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
• Brice Turang – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-190/+145)
  Brice Turang is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Milwaukee Brewers – 2H Moneyline
  The Milwaukee Brewers bullpen profiles as the 9th-best in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Chicago Cubs Insights

• Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (+100)
  Among every team playing today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Matt Shaw – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+120)
  Matt Shaw has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 83.9-mph dropping to 80.3-mph in the past week.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Pete Crow-Armstrong – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+120)
  Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Chicago Cubs – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-105)
  The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 57 games at home (+14.95 Units / 15% ROI)
• Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-120)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 79 of their last 124 games (+30.35 Units / 19% ROI)
• Michael Busch – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+120/-155)
  Michael Busch has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+6.25 Units / 21% ROI)