
Chicago Cubs
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St. Louis Cardinals
-135O/U: 7.5
(-115/-105)+115
(-115/-105)+115
Chicago Cubs Insights
- Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-135)Among every team playing today, the best infield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Seiya Suzuki – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)Seiya Suzuki has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (88% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-135)The 3rd-best projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability belongs to the Chicago Cubs.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
St. Louis Cardinals Insights
- Andre Pallante – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-110/-120)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects that Andre Pallante will surrender an average of 2.1 singles in this outing.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
- Masyn Winn – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-165/+130)Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 89.6-mph mark last year has dropped off to 84.2-mph.Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
- St. Louis Cardinals – 2H MoneylineThe St. Louis Cardinals bullpen profiles as the 5th-best in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-115/-105)The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-115/-105)The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- Alex Bregman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-190)Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 away games (+12.90 Units / 111% ROI)
