TV Channel Information for Rockies vs Cardinals – Tuesday August 12, 2025

Colorado Rockies

@

St. Louis Cardinals

On August 12, 2025, the St. Louis Cardinals will host the Colorado Rockies at Busch Stadium for the second game of their series. The Cardinals, currently sitting at 61-59, are having an average season, while the Rockies are struggling significantly with a record of 30-88. St. Louis is looking to capitalize on their home field advantage after winning the first game of the series.

Matthew Liberatore is projected to take the mound for the Cardinals. Despite a below-average ranking as the 146th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced stats, Liberatore has managed a respectable ERA of 3.98 this year. However, with a 4.50 xERA suggesting he’s been a bit lucky, there’s a chance he could face challenges against a Rockies lineup that, while struggling, is known for its high strikeout rate. The Rockies are currently 2nd in MLB for most strikeouts, which could play into Liberatore’s favor as a low-strikeout pitcher.

On the other side, Kyle Freeland is slated to start for Colorado. Freeland’s 5.53 ERA and 2-12 record indicate a tough season, but his 4.30 xFIP suggests he might be due for some positive regression. However, the Rockies offense ranks 25th in MLB, making it hard to see them turning things around against a Cardinals bullpen that is rated 17th, which is considered average.

The Cardinals’ offense, while also underperforming at 19th in MLB, has shown flashes of potential, particularly from their best hitter recently, who has recorded a .462 batting average over the last week. With an implied team total of 4.96 runs for this matchup, the Cardinals look to build on their momentum and secure a much-needed win against the struggling Rockies.

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Kyle Freeland – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
  Among all starting pitchers, Kyle Freeland’s fastball velocity of 91.1 mph grades out in the 21st percentile this year.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Kyle Farmer – Over/Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (+1600/-50000)
  Kyle Farmer has paced 0 stolen bases per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 0th percentile for base-stealing.
  Explain: Players who steal bases tend to continue stealing bases (and visa-versa).
• Hunter Goodman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Hunter Goodman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Matthew Liberatore – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+130/-165)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matthew Liberatore to throw 85 pitches today (10th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
  Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Brendan Donovan – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+185/-245)
  Brendan Donovan’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
• It may be sensible to expect worse results for the St. Louis Cardinals offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 9th-luckiest offense in the league this year.
  Explain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.

Betting Trends

• St. Louis Cardinals – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-120/-110)
  The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.55 Units / 28% ROI)
• Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-125/-105)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 57 away games (+15.15 Units / 21% ROI)
• Jordan Beck – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-115/-115)
  Jordan Beck has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.05 Units / 33% ROI)