Player Prop Bets for Guardians vs White Sox – August 10th, 2025

Cleveland Guardians

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Chicago White Sox

As the Chicago White Sox prepare to host the Cleveland Guardians on August 10, 2025, both teams find themselves in contrasting situations. The White Sox, with a record of 42-75, are having a dismal season and rank 29th in MLB offensive production. Meanwhile, the Guardians sit at 61-55, enjoying an above-average season despite their offense ranking 27th in the league.

In their previous matchup, the Guardians edged out the White Sox, further solidifying their dominance in this series. Cleveland’s Slade Cecconi, projected to start, brings a respectable 3.72 ERA into this game, although his 5.21 xERA suggests he may have been a bit fortunate thus far. On the other hand, Chicago’s Davis Martin, with a Win/Loss record of 3-9 and an ERA of 4.11, has struggled, particularly when projecting an average of 2.9 earned runs over 5.1 innings pitched today.

The White Sox’s offensive woes are compounded by Martin’s subpar strikeout rates and high projected hits allowed. Their best hitter has shown some life recently, boasting a .400 batting average over the last week, but the overall team performance remains lackluster. In contrast, the Guardians’ best hitter has also been productive, contributing to their slightly better offensive output.

With the Guardians favored at -140, the projections indicate they will likely outscore the White Sox, who have an implied team total of 3.96 runs. This matchup presents an opportunity for Cleveland to capitalize on Chicago’s struggles, making it a game to watch for bettors looking to back the Guardians.

Cleveland Guardians Insights

• Slade Cecconi – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-135/+105)
  Tallying 17.6 outs per outing this year on average, Slade Cecconi falls in the 88th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Daniel Schneemann – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-190/+145)
  Daniel Schneemann has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Jose Ramirez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
  Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.1% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Davis Martin – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+135/-175)
  Davis Martin’s higher usage rate of his fastball this year (40.7 vs. 28.3% last season) is not ideal consider they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
• Josh Rojas – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
  From last season to this one, Josh Rojas’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 92.2 mph to 87.1 mph.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Chicago White Sox – Moneyline (+110)
  The Chicago White Sox projected batting order grades out as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Betting Trends

• Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-145)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 44 games at home (+9.05 Units / 17% ROI)
• Cleveland Guardians – Run Line -1.5 (+125)
  The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Run Line in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.10 Units / 21% ROI)
• Luis Robert – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-115/-115)
  Luis Robert has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.40 Units / 54% ROI)