Latest Player Stats for Tigers vs Phillies – Saturday August 2, 2025

Detroit Tigers

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Philadelphia Phillies

As the Philadelphia Phillies prepare to face off against the Detroit Tigers at Citizens Bank Park on August 2, 2025, both teams find themselves in the thick of a competitive season. The Phillies hold a record of 62-47, while the Tigers are slightly ahead at 64-47. This matchup is particularly significant, as it’s the second game in their series following the Phillies’ narrow 5-4 victory yesterday.

On the mound, the Phillies are set to start Zack Wheeler, who is having an impressive season with a 9-4 record and an excellent ERA of 2.56. Wheeler, ranked as the 3rd best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced metrics, faces a Tigers offense that has the 5th most strikeouts in the league, which could play to his advantage. He projects to strike out 7.5 batters while allowing 2.1 earned runs today. However, his tendency to allow 4.7 hits may provide opportunities for the Tigers.

Detroit counters with Tarik Skubal, the top-ranked pitcher in MLB, boasting a 10-3 record and a stellar ERA of 2.09. Skubal is coming off a strong outing where he pitched 6 innings with no earned runs. He projects to pitch slightly longer than Wheeler, averaging 6.1 innings, and has an elite strikeout projection of 8.0 batters.

Offensively, the Phillies rank 8th in MLB, while the Tigers are just behind at 9th. Despite their proximity in rankings, the Phillies’ current moneyline of -115 suggests they are favored in this tightly contested matchup. With the projections indicating a low-scoring affair, both teams will need to capitalize on any offensive opportunities to secure the win.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Tarik Skubal – Over/Under 8.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)
  Tarik Skubal’s fastball spin rate has increased 108 rpm this season (2334 rpm) over where it was last season (2226 rpm).
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher who improves his spin rate will likely see improved results.
• Javier Baez – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
  Javier Baez has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 6.5% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past 14 days.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• The Detroit Tigers have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Riley Greene, Spencer Torkelson, Dillon Dingler).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

• Zack Wheeler – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+135/-175)
  Compared to average, Zack Wheeler has been given a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, recording an extra 9.0 adjusted pitches each game.
  Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Kyle Schwarber – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)
  Kyle Schwarber has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 100.5-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 94.9-mph average.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Philadelphia Phillies – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Philadelphia Phillies’ bullpen ranks as the 8th-worst among all the teams in Major League Baseball.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Philadelphia Phillies – Over/Under 2.5 Team Total (-155/+120)
  The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+11.76 Units / 17% ROI)
• Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+120/-155)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 48 of their last 85 games (+9.70 Units / 10% ROI)
• Trea Turner – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-235/+180)
  Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 20 games at home (+8.90 Units / 39% ROI)