Discover the Blue Jays vs Orioles Head-to-Head Preview and Score Prediction – Tuesday, July 29th, 2025

Toronto Blue Jays

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Baltimore Orioles

On July 29, 2025, the Baltimore Orioles will host the Toronto Blue Jays at Oriole Park at Camden Yards for the second game of a doubleheader. The Orioles are struggling this season with a record of 49-58, while the Blue Jays hold a strong 63-45 record, showcasing their impressive performance in the American League East. In their last encounter on July 28, the Orioles secured a notable win, defeating the Blue Jays 11-4, a game that highlighted the Orioles’ offensive capabilities.

The matchup on the mound features Brandon Young for the Orioles, a right-handed pitcher with a challenging season thus far, holding a 0-5 record and an ERA of 7.34. Although he ranks as the 158th best starter in MLB, advanced metrics suggest he may be due for better outcomes. Young is projected to pitch around 5.1 innings but tends to struggle with allowing runs and hits. In contrast, the Blue Jays will counter with Eric Lauer, a left-handed pitcher boasting a solid 6-2 record and an impressive ERA of 2.61. Lauer recently pitched a complete game, allowing just one earned run, showcasing his potential to dominate.

Offensively, the Blue Jays rank 5th in MLB, bolstered by their dynamic hitters, while the Orioles sit at 19th. Despite the Orioles’ recent offensive surge, they face a tough challenge against Lauer, whose low walk rate may neutralize the Orioles’ impatience at the plate. With a game total set at 9.5 runs, betting markets suggest a close contest, with the Orioles’ moneyline at +105 and the Blue Jays at -125. The projections indicate that the Orioles have a high implied team total of 4.58 runs, hinting at their potential to keep the game competitive.

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Toronto Blue Jays – Moneyline (-125)
  The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense grades out as the strongest among all the teams today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Davis Schneider – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
  Baltimore’s 3rd-worst outfield defense on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Davis Schneider, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• Toronto Blue Jays – 2H Moneyline
  The Toronto Blue Jays bullpen projects as the 9th-best in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Brandon Young – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+110/-140)
  Compared to average, Brandon Young has been granted a shorter leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing an -13.3 fewer adjusted pitches each game.
  Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
• Ryan O’Hearn – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-165/+125)
  Ryan O’Hearn has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (97% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Coby Mayo – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)
  Coby Mayo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 92 games (+10.28 Units / 10% ROI)
• Toronto Blue Jays – Moneyline (-125)
  The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 63 games (+19.20 Units / 24% ROI)
• Ramon Urias – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+115/-150)
  Ramon Urias has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+6.20 Units / 20% ROI)