Live Stream for Cubs vs Brewers Game – Monday, July 28, 2025

Chicago Cubs

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Milwaukee Brewers

As the Milwaukee Brewers host the Chicago Cubs on July 28, 2025, both teams enter this matchup with identical records of 62-43, making this an exciting clash in the National League Central. The Brewers are riding high after a narrow victory against the Cubs the day before, edging them out with a score of 3-2. Meanwhile, the Cubs managed to secure a win in their last outing by defeating another team 5-4, maintaining their competitive edge.

On the mound, the Brewers are set to start Jacob Misiorowski, a right-handed pitcher who has posted a solid 2.45 ERA this year, despite some advanced statistics suggesting he has been a bit fortunate. Misiorowski’s projected performance looks average today, with projections indicating he’ll pitch around 4.4 innings and allow 2.2 earned runs. His high strikeout rate of 36.0% could be a double-edged sword against a Cubs offense that ranks 5th in fewest strikeouts.

On the other side, the Cubs will counter with Matthew Boyd, a lefty who has been exceptional this season, boasting a 2.20 ERA and an impressive Win-Loss record of 11-3. However, Boyd’s projections suggest that he may struggle against the Brewers, as his flyball tendencies could be mitigated by their lack of power; the Brewers rank 25th in home runs this season.

Though the Cubs hold a distinct advantage with their offense, which ranks 3rd overall and excels in batting average and home runs, the Brewers’ bullpen is currently ranked 12th, giving them a potential edge in late-game scenarios. Betting markets indicate this matchup is expected to be close, with both teams having a moneyline set at -110, hinting at a low-scoring affair with a game total of just 7.5 runs.

Chicago Cubs Insights

• Matthew Boyd – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
  With 7 bats who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Matthew Boyd has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Kyle Tucker – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-175/+135)
  Milwaukee’s #1-ranked outfield defense of the day poses a formidable challenge for Kyle Tucker, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Seiya Suzuki – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
  Seiya Suzuki hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.7% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-110)
  Out of every team in action today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Milwaukee Brewers.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Brice Turang – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-165/+125)
  Brice Turang is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the Milwaukee Brewers with a 20% underlying K%.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Betting Trends

• Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-110)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 100 games (+18.95 Units / 15% ROI)
• Chicago Cubs – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-135/+105)
  The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 57 of their last 98 games (+8.80 Units / 8% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
  Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+14.10 Units / 57% ROI)