
Toronto Blue Jays

Los Angeles Angels
(-110/-110)+110
As the Los Angeles Angels host the Toronto Blue Jays on May 8, 2025, both teams are looking to turn their seasons around. The Angels sit at 15-20, while the Blue Jays are slightly better at 16-20. Both teams have struggled to find consistency, but they faced off yesterday, with the Angels edging out the Blue Jays 5-4 in a tightly contested game.
Jose Soriano is projected to take the mound for the Angels, bringing a mixed bag of stats to the game. He has a 2-4 record with a 3.83 ERA this season, ranking him as the 50th best starting pitcher in MLB. His last outing on May 2 was impressive, as he pitched 6 innings without allowing any earned runs. However, he has been inconsistent, particularly with strikeouts, averaging just 3.9 strikeouts per game, which may be a concern against the Blue Jays, who rank 3rd in the least strikeouts.
On the other hand, Chris Bassitt is set to start for the Blue Jays. With a 2-2 record and an excellent 2.95 ERA, he ranks 84th among starting pitchers. Although his strikeout potential is average, he has a low walk rate of 4.2%, which could play in his favor against an Angels lineup that has exhibited impatience at the plate.
The Angels’ offense has been subpar, ranking 26th in MLB overall and 28th in batting average, though they do boast power with the 5th most home runs. Conversely, the Blue Jays’ offense ranks 24th overall, struggling particularly with power, sitting last in home runs this season.
With the Angels’ bullpen ranked 9th and the Blue Jays at 6th, the late innings could be crucial. Betting markets have set a Game Total of 8.5 runs, reflecting a matchup that could go either way. The Angels have an average implied team total of 4.05 runs, while the Blue Jays sit slightly higher at 4.45 runs. This game promises to be a competitive matchup as both teams seek to gain momentum.
Toronto Blue Jays Insights
- Toronto Blue Jays – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-125)Chris Bassitt is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.3% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #7 HR venue among all major league stadiums in this game.Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Daulton Varsho – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)Daulton Varsho is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of Los Angeles (#1-best of all teams on the slate).Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- The Toronto Blue Jays (18.5 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the least strikeout-prone team of batters on the slate today.Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Jose Soriano – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+130/-170)Jose Soriano has used his four-seamer 6.6% less often this year (7.2%) than he did last season (13.8%).Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.
- Yoan Moncada – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)Yoan Moncada is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Los Angeles Angels – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Los Angeles Angels’ bullpen projects as the 9th-best among all MLB teams.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team TotalThe Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.43 Units / 57% ROI)
- Toronto Blue Jays – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team TotalThe Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+7.45 Units / 58% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-220/+165)Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+8.75 Units / 39% ROI)