Recommended Player Prop Bets for Phillies vs Cardinals – Saturday April 12, 2025

Philadelphia Phillies

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St. Louis Cardinals

As the St. Louis Cardinals prepare to host the Philadelphia Phillies on April 12, 2025, they find themselves in a challenging position in the standings. With a record of 5-7, the Cardinals are struggling this season, while the Phillies boast a strong 8-4 record, indicating a solid start. This matchup is particularly intriguing as it marks the second game in the series, with the Phillies having secured a victory in the first game.

Miles Mikolas is projected to take the mound for the Cardinals, coming in ranked as the 213th best starting pitcher in MLB according to the leading MLB projection system. His average projections suggest he will pitch about 5.5 innings, allowing 2.8 earned runs, but he struggles with strikeouts, projected to fan only 3.7 batters while giving up a concerning 5.7 hits and 1.2 walks. In contrast, Cristopher Sanchez is slated to start for the Phillies, ranking 16th among MLB starters. Sanchez’s projections are much more favorable, allowing just 2.1 earned runs and striking out 5.0 batters, although he also faces issues with hits and walks.

The Cardinals’ best hitter has been on a tear recently, boasting a .565 batting average with 13 hits over the past week, while the Phillies’ top performer has recorded 5 hits and 2 home runs during the same stretch. Despite the Cardinals’ struggles, their recent hitting performance could provide a glimmer of hope against Sanchez.

With a Game Total set at 8.0 runs, the odds favor the Phillies, who have an implied team total of 4.35 runs compared to the Cardinals’ low total of 3.65 runs. Given the current trends and pitching matchups, the Phillies appear to be in a strong position to continue their winning ways.

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

• Cristopher Sanchez – Over/Under Strikeouts
  Cristopher Sanchez has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his strikeouts since the start of last season, posting a 7.89 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.51 — a 0.62 K/9 discrepancy.
  Explain: Pitchers that are underperforming should be expected to pitch better going forward, which can create value on K prop Overs if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date underperformance.

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline
  Miles Mikolas was on point in his previous GS and allowed 2 ER.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.