Cleveland Guardians
Los Angeles Angels
(+100/-120)-110
As the Los Angeles Angels prepare to face the Cleveland Guardians on April 6, 2025, both teams find themselves in the midst of disappointing seasons, with the Angels holding a 5-3 record and the Guardians struggling at 3-5. In their last outing, the Angels showcased their pitching prowess with a strong performance, while the Guardians look to bounce back from a rough stretch.
Tyler Anderson is set to take the mound for the Angels, despite being ranked 241st among starting pitchers in MLB, according to advanced-stat Power Rankings. His ERA of 5.40 suggests he’s had a challenging start, although his 4.90 SIERA indicates he might be due for some positive regression. On the other side, Luis Ortiz, who has struggled with a staggering ERA of 13.50, is projected to start for the Guardians. Both pitchers have only started once this season, with Ortiz currently holding a 0-1 record.
Offensively, the Angels rank 53rd in MLB, which is concerning given their talent. However, their best hitter has been performing well lately, boasting a .455 batting average and 1.509 OPS over the past week. Meanwhile, the Guardians’ offense is ranked 29th, although their best hitter is also delivering impressive numbers with a .471 batting average and 1.844 OPS during the same stretch.
With the Guardians having a powerful offense that has hit 12 home runs, they could exploit Anderson’s high flyball rate, adding to the intrigue of this matchup. The game total is set at 9.0 runs, reflecting expectations for a potentially high-scoring affair. Given the Angels’ strong bullpen, which ranks 6th in MLB, they may have an edge in the later innings if the game remains close.
Cleveland Guardians Insights
- Cleveland Guardians – Moneyline (-110)Out of every team on the slate today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Cleveland Guardians.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Kyle Manzardo – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-125/-105)Kyle Manzardo’s quickness has declined this season. His 25.88 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 23.96 ft/sec now.Explain: Slow players tend to get fewer hits because they can’t beat out groundballs, fewer extra base hits, and fewer stolen bases.
- Austin Hedges – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Hedges in the 0th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Los Angeles Angels – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-120)Tyler Anderson is an extreme flyball pitcher (39.6% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #5 HR venue in the league in this game.Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Nolan Schanuel – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-190/+145)Cleveland’s #1-ranked outfield defense on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Nolan Schanuel, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- The Los Angeles Angels have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Logan O’Hoppe, Jo Adell, Kyren Paris).Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-105/-125)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games at home (+7.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (+100/-120)The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+14.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+800/-1900)Luis Rengifo has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 3 games (+6.00 Units / 200% ROI)