
Minnesota Twins
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Kansas City Royals
+130O/U: 9.5
(-110/-110)-150
(-110/-110)-150
Minnesota Twins Insights
- Taj Bradley – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)Taj Bradley’s 95.6-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season ranks in the 85th percentile among all starting pitchers.Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Kody Clemens – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+135)Kody Clemens has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the batting order today.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- The Minnesota Twins (24.1% K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the most strikeout-heavy set of batters on the slate today.Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.
Kansas City Royals Insights
- Cole Ragans – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (+110/-140)Recording 14.2 outs per GS since the start of last season on average, Cole Ragans places him the 11th percentile.Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
- Vinnie Pasquantino – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-255/+190)Vinnie Pasquantino’s footspeed has decreased this year. His 25.47 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 23.3 ft/sec now.Explain: Slow players tend to get fewer hits because they can’t beat out groundballs, fewer extra base hits, and fewer stolen bases.
- Kansas City Royals bats collectively have been one of the best in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (6th-) as it relates to their 89.7-mph average exit velocity.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Betting Trends
- Kansas City Royals – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-135/+105)The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 85 of their last 144 games (+20.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- Minnesota Twins – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-165/+125)The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 52 of their last 83 games (+15.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (-145/+115)Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 62% ROI)
