Weather for Blue Jays vs Yankees Game – 4/27/25

Toronto Blue Jays

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New York Yankees

As the New York Yankees prepare to host the Toronto Blue Jays on April 27, 2025, they will look to build on their strong season with a record of 15-11, while the Blue Jays sit at an even 13-13. This American League East matchup is crucial for both teams, though the Yankees are positioned well as they vie for a playoff spot.

In their previous game, the Yankees showcased their pitching depth with Max Fried on the mound, who has been nothing short of exceptional this season. Fried boasts a perfect 4-0 record and an impressive ERA of 1.42, ranking him as the 7th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced metrics. His high groundball rate of 50% aligns well against a Blue Jays offense that has struggled with power, ranking 29th in home runs this season with just 14. This matchup could heavily favor Fried, especially considering the Blue Jays’ lack of offensive firepower.

On the other side, Toronto will counter with Kevin Gausman, who has had a solid season but is still viewed as below-average by the projections. Gausman’s ERA of 3.16 is decent, but he projects to allow an average of 3.2 earned runs today. His tendency to give up fly balls could be problematic against a Yankees lineup that ranks 1st in home runs this season, with 41 long balls to their name.

With the Yankees’ offense ranked 2nd overall in MLB and their previous game against the Blue Jays resulting in a decisive win, they enter this double-header as significant betting favorites with a moneyline of -180. The Yankees’ elite batting talent and Fried’s dominant performance on the mound could make this a challenging day for the Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Toronto Blue Jays – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline
  Chris Bassitt is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.3% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #3 HR venue among all major league parks today.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Toronto Blue Jays – 2H Moneyline
  The Toronto Blue Jays bullpen projects as the 6th-best in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

New York Yankees Insights

• Clarke Schmidt – Over/Under Strikeouts
  Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Clarke Schmidt has relied on his off-speed and breaking balls 11.8% more often this season (90.9%) than he did last season (79.1%).
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.