Watch the Game Highlights for Blue Jays vs Red Sox – Saturday, July 25, 2026

Toronto Blue Jays

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Boston Red Sox

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Dylan Cease – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
  Dylan Cease’s 97-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 91st percentile out of all SPs.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Andres Gimenez – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
  Andres Gimenez has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86-mph dropping to 81.7-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Daulton Varsho – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-185)
  Daulton Varsho pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.6% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Boston Red Sox Insights

• Sonny Gray – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-185/+145)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sonny Gray to throw 85 pitches today (7th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
  Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• The Boston Red Sox have done a poor job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their hardest-hit balls. Their 12.3° angle is among the lowest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (#28 overall).
  Explain: If you hit the ball hard but straight at the ground, it doesn’t do you any good. A player that is skilled at lifting his hardest hit balls into the air stands the best chance of turning them into extra-base hits or home runs.

Betting Trends

• Boston Red Sox – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-110/-120)
  The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 25 games (+14.45 Units / 49% ROI)
• Toronto Blue Jays – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-110/-120)
  The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.75 Units / 19% ROI)
• Daulton Varsho – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+155/-200)
  Daulton Varsho has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.00 Units / 25% ROI)