Watch the Cardinals vs Nationals Game Highlights – April 7th, 2026

St. Louis Cardinals

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Washington Nationals

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Matthew Liberatore – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
  Matthew Liberatore has relied on his change-up 8.2% more often this season (20.8%) than he did last season (12.6%).
  Explain: Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
• Pedro Pages – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
  Pedro Pages’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 88.8-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 81.9-mph in the past 7 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• The St. Louis Cardinals have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Pedro Pages, Jordan Walker, Nolan Gorman).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Washington Nationals Insights

• Cade Cavalli – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
  Among all starters, Cade Cavalli’s fastball velocity of 96.3 mph grades out in the 93rd percentile since the start of last season.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Jacob Young – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-160/+125)
  Jacob Young has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .232 mark is a fair amount lower than his .271 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
  Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
• Washington Nationals – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Washington Nationals’ bullpen ranks as the 2nd-worst among all the teams in the majors.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Washington Nationals – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-145/+115)
  The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 42 of their last 68 games at home (+13.72 Units / 17% ROI)
• St. Louis Cardinals – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-130/+100)
  The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 64 of their last 113 games (+9.25 Units / 7% ROI)
• Cade Cavalli – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
  Cade Cavalli has hit the Strikeouts Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.60 Units / 45% ROI)