Updated Player Rankings for Phillies vs Orioles – July 31st, 2026

Philadelphia Phillies

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Baltimore Orioles

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

• Andrew Painter – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (+120/-155)
  Andrew Painter has recorded 14.5 outs per start this year, grading out in the 24th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• It may be best to expect stronger performance for the Philadelphia Phillies offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 2nd-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.
  Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Brandon Young – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-145/+115)
  It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Brandon Young has gone to his secondary offerings 9.6% less often this year (46.6%) than he did last season (56.2%).
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
• Leody Taveras – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+140)
  Leody Taveras has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (87% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Baltimore’s 89.9-mph average exit velocity this year is one of the best in baseball: #1 overall.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Betting Trends

• Baltimore Orioles – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+105/-135)
  The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+7.10 Units / 13% ROI)
• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.90 Units / 15% ROI)
• Alec Bohm – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-190)
  Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.90 Units / 28% ROI)