TV Channel Information for Pirates vs Red Sox – Saturday August 30, 2025

Pittsburgh Pirates

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Boston Red Sox

On August 30, 2025, the Boston Red Sox will host the Pittsburgh Pirates at Fenway Park for the second game of their interleague series. The Red Sox enter this matchup with a solid 75-61 record, showcasing a strong season. In contrast, the Pirates are struggling at 60-76, reflecting a disappointing campaign. Boston’s offense ranks 8th in MLB, highlighting their ability to generate runs, while Pittsburgh sits at 29th, indicating significant struggles at the plate.

In the last game between these two teams, the Red Sox had a strong outing, and they are looking to build on that momentum. The Red Sox will send Dustin May to the mound, a right-handed pitcher with a 7-10 record and an ERA of 4.79 this season. Although May’s performance has been below average overall, he is projected to pitch around 5.3 innings today, allowing approximately 2.4 earned runs. However, he has been prone to giving up hits and walks, which could be a concern against any team.

On the other hand, the Pirates will counter with Johan Oviedo, another right-hander who has had a better year with a 1-0 record and a commendable ERA of 3.60 over just 3 starts this season. Oviedo’s ability to strike out batters, with a 32.6 K% rate, could pose challenges for a high-strikeout Red Sox lineup that ranks 5th in MLB for strikeouts.

Despite the projections favoring the Red Sox as significant betting favorites with an implied team total of 5.07 runs, the Pirates will rely on Oviedo to maximize their chances. Given the disparities in offensive production and pitching performance, the Red Sox appear poised to continue leveraging their offensive strength against a struggling Pirates team.

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights

• Pittsburgh Pirates – Moneyline (+150)
  The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
• Joey Bart – Over/Under Total Bases
  Joey Bart has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph dropping to 76.6-mph over the past week.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Tommy Pham – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-185)
  Tommy Pham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Boston Red Sox Insights

• Boston Red Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-160)
  Dustin May is projected to allow an average of 2.37 earned runs in today’s matchup, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
• Alex Bregman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
  Pittsburgh’s 3rd-worst outfield defense of the day creates a favorable matchup for Alex Bregman, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• The Boston Red Sox have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Trevor Story, Romy Gonzalez, Carlos Narvaez).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

• Boston Red Sox – Moneyline (-175)
  The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 79 games (+15.90 Units / 15% ROI)
• Pittsburgh Pirates – Run Line +1.5 (-140)
  The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Run Line in 54 of their last 84 games (+21.80 Units / 19% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-120/-110)
  Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.20 Units / 35% ROI)