Track the Live Score for Pirates vs Reds - 4/01/2026

-160O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)+140

Paul Skenes – Over/Under Pitching Outs
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Paul Skenes to be on a bit of a short leash in this game, projecting a maximum of 61 pitches.
Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
Oneil Cruz – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)
Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Ryan O’Hearn – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
Ryan O’Hearn has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Andrew Abbott – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have 6 batters in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Abbott in this matchup.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
The Cincinnati Reds have 5 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Elly De La Cruz, Matt McLain, Eugenio Suarez, Will Benson, Tyler Stephenson).
Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 141 games (+30.15 Units / 19% ROI)
Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 145 games (+26.00 Units / 16% ROI)
Will Benson – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (+100/-130)
Will Benson has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+6.55 Units / 21% ROI)

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